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MARKET TREND IN 2011
01/31/2011 11:37 pm

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Originally Posted by Tofa Ra:
thanks bro



Welcome
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02/01/2011 9:49 am

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বাজার পুর্বাভাস (০২-০২-২০১১)
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আজকের বাজার পরিস্থিতি দেখে কালকের বাজার সম্পর্কে পূর্বাভাস লিখতে খুব কষ্ট লাগছে। আজকের দিনশেষে সূচকের ২০৩ পয়েন্ট পতন এবং গত কয়েকদিনের প্রায় সমপরিমান টার্ণওভার দেখে কালকের বাজার সম্পর্কে ইতিবাচক ধারনা পোষণ করার মত কোন উপাদান আমার কাছে নেই। গত কয়দিনের টানা উত্থানের পর পতনের ধাক্কা টা যেভাবে লেগেছে তাকে স্বাভাবিক বলে ধরে নেওয়ার ও কোন কারণ নেই। এর আগের একটি উদ্ধৃতি আজ আবার লিখতে চাই, "এ বাজারে বিনিয়োগকারীর চেয়ে ট্রেডার বেশী।" তাই বাজারের উত্থান পতন- দুইই দ্রুত হয়। প্রাতিষ্ঠানিক বিনিয়োগকারীদের বিনিয়োগ যৎসামান্য। কেবলমাত্র প্যানিকই কালকের বাজারকে নিম্নমুখী করবে। একটা কথা না বললেই নয়, গত ডিসেম্বর ও জানুয়ারী মাসে বাজারের টালমাটাল পরিস্থিতি দেখেও অধিকাংশ বিনিয়োগকারী শিক্ষা নিতে পারেননি। এখনো দুর্বল মৌলভিত্তির শেয়ারের দাম হু হু করে বাড়তে দেখা যাচ্ছে। তাহলে কি আমরা জেনেশুনে বিষ পান করে মৃত্যুর দায় অন্যের উপর চাপাবো?
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02/01/2011 10:22 am

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bro down beshi hole kichu buy kora jai ki?
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02/01/2011 10:47 am

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Originally Posted by Shoeb Ahmed:
bro down beshi hole kichu buy kora jai ki?



I think there is no strong support line before 6700. Observe whereas the index bounce back from 6700 or not. If the support line fails then next support line is at 6300.
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02/01/2011 10:48 am

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Taj Bhai,
Today's fall made me little tensed and pessimistic about the near future.
Not really expecting good declaration from forthcoming Lanka Bangla and NBL.
But still waiting for div declaration to decide about NBL (8% Loss), Lanka (12% loss), Primefin (8% loss), Shahjalal(7% loss), IDLC (4% loss) and ILFSL(4% loss)
Hoping against hope that there will not be any more sharp fall ... before I can get out.

Regards
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02/01/2011 11:16 am

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Originally Posted by Sems Khan:
Taj Bhai,
Today's fall made me little tensed and pessimistic about the near future.
Not really expecting good declaration from forthcoming Lanka Bangla and NBL.
But still waiting for div declaration to decide about NBL (8% Loss), Lanka (12% loss), Primefin (8% loss), Shahjalal(7% loss), IDLC (4% loss) and ILFSL(4% loss)
Hoping against hope that there will not be any more sharp fall ... before I can get out.

Regards



Wow!!! I have also Primefin, Shahjalal , IDLC though I am not in loss.

I can share with what I have done in recent crackdown.

I have sold almost at of my stake before crackdown. I did not face any loss. Now, basing on the present scenario I have decided to follow the following rules:

1. Sell 50% stake,  whether in profit or loss. I shall sell only those which have bigger loss.
2. Hold rest 50%
3. Observe for bottom and reenter at this point.
4. Will not average at this moment.

I have discussed in my two earlier topic what we should do in this crutial time.

Hope You will get my point.
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02/01/2011 11:43 am

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Taj Bhai,
Thanks for the advice.
My bigger loss is in Lanka but its declaration is soon(?).
Even then I will do that tomorrow with Lanka for sure.

Thanks
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02/01/2011 11:55 am

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Originally Posted by Sems Khan:
Taj Bhai,
Thanks for the advice.
My bigger loss is in Lanka but its declaration is soon(?).
Even then I will do that tomorrow with Lanka for sure.

Thanks



Thanks. Declaration is coming for all stocks you have. But when markets falls sharp, even 100% stock declared scrips also fall. It is wise to keep a good amount of hard cash. Reenter when market bounces back.
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02/01/2011 12:07 pm

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Thanks. Fully agree with you. Now repenting for not doing that before....I could have bought those shares at less price now....May be I was not flexible enough to take accept loss at all (because I thought that I have the solid rocks and nothing can crack those !!!). Good lesson both in terms of money and time. Thanks again Taj bhai.
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02/01/2011 12:19 pm

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Originally Posted by Sems Khan:
Thanks. Fully agree with you. Now repenting for not doing that before....I could have bought those shares at less price now....May be I was not flexible enough to take accept loss at all (because I thought that I have the solid rocks and nothing can crack those !!!). Good lesson both in terms of money and time. Thanks again Taj bhai.



Thanks. Yesterday I gave the signal in my forecast. Anyway, Sell at the very beginning may save you from more loss.

Some MARKET EXPERTS are telling it as a normal market correction. Tomorrow it will be clear. If index goes at least 50 points up an keeps it till 1200 hrs, then we can say the experts are right. If not, may be we, the sufferers will be right.
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02/01/2011 12:26 pm

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Thankful to you. Good Night.
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02/01/2011 4:02 pm

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Brother,,,from thousands mile away,,,I would like to thank u at this late night of yours,,very well done effort of analysis..keep going...n pray for us
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02/01/2011 9:56 pm

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100% correct.  Price of weak fundamental shares are going up.  So market may go more and more down.
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02/02/2011 12:41 am

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Originally Posted by S Alam Chy:
Brother,,,from thousands mile away,,,I would like to thank u at this late night of yours,,very well done effort of analysis..keep going...n pray for us




Thanks
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02/02/2011 12:49 am

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Originally Posted by Rezaul Karim Sheikh:
100% correct.  Price of weak fundamental shares are going up.  So market may go more and more down.



Exactly
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