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এখন থেকে কি প্রতিদিনের পূর্বাভাস আলাদা আলাদা থ্রেড এ দেয়া হবে যেমন আজকে দেয়া হয়েছে Market Forecast 23.02.2011 নামে ? এতেতো মোট থ্রেড এর সংখ্যা অনেক অনেক বেড়ে যাবে। তার থেকে Market Forecast নামে আলাদা একটা থ্রেড খুলে প্রতিদিনের পূর্বাভাস ওই থ্রেড এ দিলে ভালো হয় না ?

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Thanks Taj vai & Rifat

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Originally Posted by Reefat Zaman Shourov:
এখন থেকে কি প্রতিদিনের পূর্বাভাস আলাদা আলাদা থ্রেড এ দেয়া হবে যেমন আজকে দেয়া হয়েছে Market Forecast 23.02.2011 নামে ? এতেতো মোট থ্রেড এর সংখ্যা অনেক অনেক বেড়ে যাবে। তার থেকে Market Forecast নামে আলাদা একটা থ্রেড খুলে প্রতিদিনের পূর্বাভাস ওই থ্রেড এ দিলে ভালো হয় না ?

ফোরামের অনেক সদস্যের অনুরোধে এটা করা হয়েছে। অনেকে মোবাইল থেকে লগ ইন করে। Market Trend in 2011 থ্রেড থেকে অনেকের খুঁজে পেয়ে সমস্যা হয়। তাই সকলের সুবিধার্থে এটা করা হয়েছে। বাজার পূর্বাভাস, প্রতিদিনের খবর এবং কর্পোরেট ডিসক্লোজার প্রতিদিন আলাদা আলাদা থ্রেডে প্রকাশ করা হবে। যেহেতু NEWS and INFO এবং MARKET TREND নামে আলাদা ২টি ক্যাটাগরী আছে , আশা করি সমস্যা হবে না।

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Originally Posted by Reefat Zaman Shourov:
এখন থেকে কি প্রতিদিনের পূর্বাভাস আলাদা আলাদা থ্রেড এ দেয়া হবে যেমন আজকে দেয়া হয়েছে Market Forecast 23.02.2011 নামে ? এতেতো মোট থ্রেড এর সংখ্যা অনেক অনেক বেড়ে যাবে। তার থেকে Market Forecast নামে আলাদা একটা থ্রেড খুলে প্রতিদিনের পূর্বাভাস ওই থ্রেড এ দিলে ভালো হয় না ?

ফোরামের অনেক সদস্যের অনুরোধে এটা করা হয়েছে। অনেকে মোবাইল থেকে লগ ইন করে। Market Trend in 2011 থ্রেড থেকে অনেকের খুঁজে পেয়ে সমস্যা হয়। তাই সকলের সুবিধার্থে এটা করা হয়েছে। বাজার পূর্বাভাস, প্রতিদিনের খবর এবং কর্পোরেট ডিসক্লোজার প্রতিদিন আলাদা আলাদা থ্রেডে প্রকাশ করা হবে। যেহেতু NEWS and INFO এবং MARKET TREND নামে আলাদা ২টি ক্যাটাগরী আছে , আশা করি সমস্যা হবে না।

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ok ! Thank 4 the reply !

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Originally Posted by Abdul Aziz:
Thanks Taj vai & Rifat

Thank you also

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ANNOUNCEMENT:

From 23 Feb, Market forecast is being posted on separate thread daily. Click the following link to see tomorrow's (24-02-2011) forecast. Thanks

http://apps.facebook.com/facebook_forums/market_forecast_24022011-4770.html

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তাহলে এ টপিক pin থেকে উঠিয়ে ফেলা যায়, তাই না?

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Originally Posted by Akash Bhi:
Well , good post....but all our technical analysis may not be correct in this present situation. Reason behid is
Worldcup 2011
govt image
lot of good declaration.

because after march for all declaration mkt will be in 5500 automatically. I talked with some mb person, they said they have started to buy share. but in very slowly. They want to buy maximum share after record date.
So i think it's positive sign given by mkt today. If tomorrow mkt index -50 or +50  then we can say mkt is stable. but other big fish says that mkt is waiting for another correction. But they thought to be after 7200. But apparently it happen today. so tomorrow is a very important day. if mkt started with big - like before....then no hope......
if started with positively.....then i think it will stop in 7200-7500 index....
it's my opinion...
let see what happen tomorrow.....

1.

How about liquidity crisis? Did you consider it?

I'm actually more interested in liquidity crisis than all other things!!!

GOV has not so much extra money to inject in the market whenever it falls!! Remember that we are a poor country,and luxury is only fit for our politicians,not for stock market or poor civilians!!!

Moreover,did you check out the conditions of banks' finance? You would be surprised to see what is going on inside!!!! How are MB gonna give loan to general traders? But most important question is : why will they give loan to general traders in such a risky condition of the market?

2.

Did you consider budget? Let's not forget that budget is ahead,and government has to take some important decisions regarding finance in budget which also effects the stock market!!!! Do you think,finance institutions won't check out first what gov is upto in next budget,before they really go for invest?

3.

How about stock price levels? At what level of price do you think a stock becomes lucrative for big buyers? What if you were a big buyer? As a big buyer,what would you expect from the market? More fall? Cheaper price?

If market can rise for one year,why not it fall for at least six months?

Back in 2006,stock market started to fall from January/2006 and remained down till June/2006!! This is six months bearish move. Why not now,too?

4.

Declaration has nothing much to do with index rise. Big buyers mostly don't buy before declaration. It is rarely seen that a stock price rises more than 50% after its declaration. Actually,in most cases,declaration news stops the stock to rise further. Check out your charts,and news of a stock declaration of last five years! Good declaration has nothing much to do with stock rise and index rise!

5.

How about the general traders? Do you think,traders are not in panic? What do you think of market psychology now?

If we try to understand general traders,we would see that they are in FEAR. Actually,many of them want to get out of the market with least amount of loss. Profit is far away,they don't even care about break even point now!! So,how does this psychology effects the market!!! It effects big time. Everyone is looking for a way to get out of the market,as if panic has set in like ghost. And whatever you tell them to do,they will just do what their mind says. This panic will last quite a long time. Here lies the main problem of our current market..And this is one of the main reasons of current bearish move!

If market needs a rise,general traders have to become bullish again!!

----------------------------------

It is uncertain when index will rise. Nothing shows that it is gonna rise pretty soon. But things may turn around quite dramatically and positively,and index could crazily rise again. But for now,it is better to watch the show as it happens. Many traders' remorse and sorrow will create another door for other traders' satisfaction and profit. Time will heal everything,and we have to wait for time!! All else is just a bluff.

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Originally Posted by Share Trader:

Originally Posted by Akash Bhi:
Well , good post....but all our technical analysis may not be correct in this present situation. Reason behid is
Worldcup 2011
govt image
lot of good declaration.

because after march for all declaration mkt will be in 5500 automatically. ---------------------------
it's my opinion...
let see what happen tomorrow.....

1.

How about liquidity crisis? Did you consider it?

-------------------------------------------
Time will heal everything,and we have to wait for time!! All else is just a bluff.

Thank you so much share Trader bhai. You represented the exact scenario . We must agree with you. I hope you will contribute this way for the betterment of Small investors.

Best Regards.

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we all agree with Share Trader Vai. Thanks for your post.

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Originally Posted by Share Trader:

1.

How about liquidity crisis? Did you consider it?

I'm actually more interested in liquidity crisis than all other things!!!

GOV has not so much extra money to inject in the market whenever it falls!! Remember that we are a poor country,and luxury is only fit for our politicians,not for stock market or poor civilians!!!

Moreover,did you check out the conditions of banks' finance? You would be surprised to see what is going on inside!!!! How are MB gonna give loan to general traders? But most important question is : why will they give loan to general traders in such a risky condition of the market?

2.

Did you consider budget? Let's not forget that budget is ahead,and government has to take some important decisions regarding finance in budget which also effects the stock market!!!! Do you think,finance institutions won't check out first what gov is upto in next budget,before they really go for invest?

3.

How about stock price levels? At what level of price do you think a stock becomes lucrative for big buyers? What if you were a big buyer? As a big buyer,what would you expect from the market? More fall? Cheaper price?

If market can rise for one year,why not it fall for at least six months?

Back in 2006,stock market started to fall from January/2006 and remained down till June/2006!! This is six months bearish move. Why not now,too?

4.

Declaration has nothing much to do with index rise. Big buyers mostly don't buy before declaration. It is rarely seen that a stock price rises more than 50% after its declaration. Actually,in most cases,declaration news stops the stock to rise further. Check out your charts,and news of a stock declaration of last five years! Good declaration has nothing much to do with stock rise and index rise!

5.

How about the general traders? Do you think,traders are not in panic? What do you think of market psychology now?

If we try to understand general traders,we would see that they are in FEAR. Actually,many of them want to get out of the market with least amount of loss. Profit is far away,they don't even care about break even point now!! So,how does this psychology effects the market!!! It effects big time. Everyone is looking for a way to get out of the market,as if panic has set in like ghost. And whatever you tell them to do,they will just do what their mind says. This panic will last quite a long time. Here lies the main problem of our current market..And this is one of the main reasons of current bearish move!

If market needs a rise,general traders have to become bullish again!!

----------------------------------

It is uncertain when index will rise. Nothing shows that it is gonna rise pretty soon. But things may turn around quite dramatically and positively,and index could crazily rise again. But for now,it is better to watch the show as it happens. Many traders' remorse and sorrow will create another door for other traders' satisfaction and profit. Time will heal everything,and we have to wait for time!! All else is just a bluff.

Thank you very much, Share Trader Bhai.
You pointed out many important factors which many people don't think of considering. As a newbie I try to understand how declaration of right/bonus affects share price. In very recent case, declaration of SouthEastbank has no positive outcome. As not only economics, but also every market has distinct characteristic (most traders are of a certain culture, Bangalee), experience of the market is very important. Experiences of people like you and Taj Bhai are most valuable to us.

I eagerly want to see your regular contribution. It will help us, specially newbies, a lot.

Thanks again.

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Thank you very much for your thoughtful comments. It is indeed blended with your experience in monetary fields that govern the economic affairs let alone the Stock Market. In my opinion, we have failed to make a difference between the trading habits/psyche of a day trader and the same of an institutional buyer. The so called institutional buyers behave like day traders in our Stock Market. There should be separate rules of the game for the day traders as different from the institutional investors/buyers. It could, possibly, be done by imposing T+10 days restriction for institutional investors and no restriction for the day traders. I am not sure about its serious implication, if any. After all, down fall or crashes are inherent in stock market but let the crashes do not happen suddenly due to manipulations. What the small investors, who were the worst sufferers, (and not the institutional investors) expect is a soft landing so that the pangs of the fall cause no massive disaster. In the last Stock Market crash, Institutional buyers were gainers but the traders/small investors were the losers. Ideally, possibly, a crash in the market should affect everybody proportionately. In our case, it was unique in nature raising mistrusts on our financial institutions and institutional Investors. All rules affected small investors badly but did not touch the institutional investors at all. The focus of attention was only to regulate small investors with heaps of rules circulated intermittently but there was none to regulate institutional buyers.  All crashes have some over-riding and reasonable beliefs that may have caused the crash. This time, it is largely due to absence of control over the activities of the institutional investors. If this could be considered as the macro reason for the crash, this core issue needs to be addressed before we see another painful fall.

This is easier said than done since without participation of institutional investors we can never see the market rise. Again, over participation may lead to disaster in overall economic condition of the country.

I hope you will view my point as a layman's view and pardon my audacity to comment anything on your specialized domain. Last but not the least, I am unenthusiastic to the term called ‘Share beboshayee’ for I did never consider it to be a business at all. If it were so than keeping money in FDR could also be a business. Thanks for your patience!!

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Taj Bhai, Koy ekta share er naam bolben ja ekhn kinle besh profit kora jabe within short time ? r kon muhurto ba kobe koto price a share gulo kena uchit tao janaben please !
Thank U !