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Today (19 Dec 2010), we have seen 551 points fall in index. This is the highest fall. As a technical Analyst, I assume that the index will fall upto 7000 then it will again rise. If the index fails to rise at 7000 pts it may go down to 5500. The reason behind this is as follows:
 Ins Investors will offload at the end of the month for updating their year end account.
 Banks will offload 6500 crore share
 Big Investors and Gamblers are offloading their shares. They will not buy again if the market does not show a positive growth in index.

So, Brothers and sister, be very very careful about investment. I already encash all instruments with 10% loss.

This is my opinion about the market basing on the current situation. Investment decision is yours.

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20 Dec 2010

SEC and BBs quick decision has prevented further fall in dse index. Today index rises about 300 points. HOw much it will rise tomorrow? Another 300 points? I think no chance. The reasons behind are:

1. Institutional Investors are offloading their shares on the eve of Year end. yesterday ICB, Lanka Bangla,Prime Finance, AB Bank and BLI Securities have offloaded more than 750 crore taka share.
2. After a huge fall, almost 10% fall in every stock, these investors started buying again. But the panic remains, and general investors who sold their stakes experiences huge loss.
3. The monetary policy of BB has bounded the Banks to withdraw their money, the date now extended on 15 Feb,2011. What does it mean? Next 40 trading day, there will be sell pressure for the stakes of banks. Average selling sock for the banks are 6000 crore taka divided by 40 trading day i.e. 150 crore taka for each trading day. This will create a recession upto mid February in stock market.
4. Institutional Investors will buy shares, definitely, but market has to absorb about 10000 crore taka share.

Members are requested to take investment decision very carefully. Don't go for heavy buy, better average on downside.

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21 DEC 2010

Today market goes well. The latest decisions has pulled the market. This is a good sign. Hope this will continue. Still it is the last month for the institutional investors to summ up their portfolio. Market may be mixed in the next few days.

Averaging on downside can be fruitful.

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DEAR TAJ,
   HOPE U R FINE.TODAY I JOIND IN UR GRP.I M LITTLE BIT SCARED ABT CURRENT MARKET TREND BCZ I M TOTALLY A NEW INVESTOR FOR STOCK MARKET.FEW MONTHS AGO I BOUGHT SOME BANK SHARE LIKE IFIC,JAMUNA,PREMIER,SIBL,UCBL AND UTTARA BANK.BT NOW I WONT OFFLOAD THESE SHARES BECZ OF DOWNTURN OF STOCK MARKET.WOULD U PLS SHOW ME ACTUALL PATHWAY TO KEEP CONTINUE MY JOURNEY IN SHARE MARKET!!!!!!!!!!!!.

WITH REGARDS
FARUQ

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Originally Posted by Faruq Omar:
DEAR TAJ,
   HOPE U R FINE.TODAY I JOIND IN UR GRP.I M LITTLE BIT SCARED ABT CURRENT MARKET TREND BCZ I M TOTALLY A NEW INVESTOR FOR STOCK MARKET.FEW MONTHS AGO I BOUGHT SOME BANK SHARE LIKE IFIC,JAMUNA,PREMIER,SIBL,UCBL AND UTTARA BANK.BT NOW I WONT OFFLOAD THESE SHARES BECZ OF DOWNTURN OF STOCK MARKET.WOULD U PLS SHOW ME ACTUALL PATHWAY TO KEEP CONTINUE MY JOURNEY IN SHARE MARKET!!!!!!!!!!!!.

WITH REGARDS
FARUQ

Thanks for joining. I will post the analysis on Individual Stock Analysis section. Please give me some time. You may go through my topic Investment plan to have idea on mutual investing.

Thanks

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MARKET TREND FOR 26-30 DEC 2010

This is the last week of the year remains only 5 trading days. Institutional Investors likely to offload their stake in this week. Index may go up to 8250 but my assumption is index will close on 7500 at the end of this year. There is no real support line below 8000. to my opinion, don't go for any further sell. Buy to average your stock price. You may experience overall 10-15% loss in this week which can be regained in the 1st week of January 2011.

Best of luck

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26.12.2010

Today market was mixed. Index did not fall due to the move of bank sector. Bank sector seems to be leader in this week. Suggested to invest in strong fundamental stocks.

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27.12.2010

All sectors move today. Indicates a good sign. Price index may go up significantly. Don't go for sell if index falls. Try to make average on downside.

For Buyers: Don't go for heavy buy, observe the market and take decision.
For sellers: Do go for panic sell.

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28.12.2010

Market may go mix tomorrow. Today we saw some junk share have come up with huge price rise. Be careful about these shares, some of those may be halted again.

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MARKET TREND FORECAST FOR 30.12.2010

Today market had mixed trend. Very little rise in index.
Tomorrow market likely to rise.
Bank and NBFI sector move will continue

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30.12.2010

Today market closes at 8290, Only 75 points up than previous day. MF sector had a huge move. MF, Banks and NBFI likely to  be bullish in the next week.