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MARKET FORECAST 28.02.2011
02/28/2011 4:37 am

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taj vi,kalka mutual fund kinbo cinta krtc.knta kinla valo hba?kmn hba?pls ekto janaian
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02/28/2011 5:15 am

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Dear Taj bhai,
ami apnar post gulo open kortr pari keno?
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02/28/2011 6:51 am

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Taj vai..... Would you like to say today was an ideal day for buy or today was/wasn't the last chance to buy............ Really tensed........ And one more thing as you stated before 5400 line is very important for us.. So have we entered into a secular bear market?
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02/28/2011 7:08 am

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vai kisu stock er nam bolen ja 1-2 year a khub valo hobe
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02/28/2011 8:00 am

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Originally Posted by Imran Hossain:
taj vi,kalka mutual fund kinbo cinta krtc.knta kinla valo hba?kmn hba?pls ekto janaian



Mutual funds are showing lucrative now a days. But there are some trap also. Some mutual are now below their face value. But irony of fate is that, as long as market goes bearish, mutual funds will also goes bearish and you will notice some mutual funds will be half of their face value very soon. PLease be informed that, Mutual fund is not share , it is a fund only. Majority investors assume as the EPS is very low it will be lucrative, but its a wrong idea. We can invest in a mutual fund only when their market price is below their NAV( Net Asset Value).

I do not suggest to invest in mutual funds at present situation. Even then, you you wanna proceed, you may choose ICB 1st to 8 th MFs and Grameen1.
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02/28/2011 8:01 am

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Originally Posted by Rabbu Rashid:
Dear Taj bhai,
ami apnar post gulo open kortr pari keno?



I could not  undestand
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02/28/2011 8:09 am

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Originally Posted by Mostafa Noman Deep:
Taj vai..... Would you like to say today was an ideal day for buy or today was/wasn't the last chance to buy............ Really tensed........ And one more thing as you stated before 5400 line is very important for us.. So have we entered into a secular bear market?




Yes, We have entered in the Secular  Bear Market. No matter. We will not quit from the market. We will set our strategy. Today index was stable at 5200 points for long time. I think this is the right time to enter. At best we can expect fall to 4500. Choose the stocks which are giving less price spread now and trying to rise. Start investing slowly and always keep a reasonable amount as back up so that you can average. I find the opportunity in the following stocks: Bextex, Beximco Pharma, Beximco ltd, Shahjalal Bank, Asia Insurance, Goldenson. Market can bounce at any time.
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02/28/2011 8:15 am

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Originally Posted by Omor Sharif:
vai kisu stock er nam bolen ja 1-2 year a khub valo hobe




For long term my choice is: Prime Finance, Goldenson, Beximco, Beximco Pharma, Titas Gas,PLFSL,One Bank, NBL
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02/28/2011 8:23 am

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Taj vai,
আপনাকে একটা ই-মেইল দিয়েছিলাম। ঠিকানাটা ঠিক ছিল কিনা জানি না।
দয়া করে আপনার ই-মেইল দিবেন॥
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02/28/2011 8:38 am

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Originally Posted by Mohammad Shamim Hossein:
Taj vai,
আপনাকে একটা ই-মেইল দিয়েছিলাম। ঠিকানাটা ঠিক ছিল কিনা জানি না।
দয়া করে আপনার ই-মেইল দিবেন॥



tajuahmed1971@gmail.com
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02/28/2011 9:15 am

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At present scenario do you think it (index) will make a "W"?
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02/28/2011 9:35 am

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Originally Posted by Jamil Ahmed:
At present scenario do you think it (index) will make a "W"?




I don't think
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02/28/2011 9:39 am

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Taking risk i entered some script today. Item : Maksons , metro and Fed Insurance. I am observing some share and if i get chance i will give entry. Golden Son, RN Spin, Sport are  in my watch list.
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02/28/2011 9:45 am

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One should be waiting to see if index really hits 4800 in order to make sure one is not taking too much risk to enter into the market. It looks like index will swing within 5000 to 4500(or may be,even 4000). Not clear yet. One thing to be noted : Index fall is slowing down,which is a good thing. Some stocks are even going through small buys!!! Looks like ppl are averaging down!!!!

Interestingly,current condition of index seems to be a great opportunity for traders that are standing aside from the market and looking for new entries. This type of situation comes into one traders' life a few times. Buying at the bottom is the most difficult thing,as it is difficult to get such an opportunity.

This is the second time in my trading career that I am seeing Index to reach in such a rock bottom. I couldn't exploit the first one,but I am hoping to exploit this one!!!

I think,if one is standing aside from the market now and have capital to trade,one should collect more money to be invested in coming months. However,I'm talking from a very long term perspective. I'm looking forward to one year time frame,or even more.

And of course,TA is gonna help you.

According to TAs,when Index is at its top and everyone is so hopeful of future,it is time to sell. Again,when Index is at its bottom and everyone is hopeless of its future,it is time to prepare to buy. And our index is reaching to its bottom-only a couple of points far from its reasonable lowests. It is time to prepare ourselves to enter into the market!

Happy trading :-)



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02/28/2011 9:57 am

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thanx taj vi.,apnar karona amadr onk opokar hoi
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